Sports Analytics Basics
How overtime and extra innings change a sample
Overtime adds plays to the same game, not a second sample of team quality. Rules differ by league, and one long night stays one night.
Tag
close games
2 posts tagged "close games".
Sports Analytics Basics
Close games and why one play warps the story
A one-score game can turn on a bounce or a call. The margin is real, and the lesson people draw from it is usually too big.